Abstract—This paper applied the use of Java programming
language to create a program named Java Earthquake
Program (JEP) used to forecast the next earthquake in
Indonesia. The 133 earthquake events from United States
Geological Survey (USGS) occurred in the period of 1954 to
2012 were used to build the program. Three probabilistic
models were used to model the earthquake data in Indonesia
which are normal, gamma, and beta distributions. The goodness
fit tests result from Java earthquake program (JEP) confirmed
that gamma distribution is reliable to model the earthquake
data in Indonesia. The calculation result of maximum
conditional probability from JEP indicated that the next
earthquake will be occurred on the date range of August 27,
2012 to February 19, 2013 with Mw ≥ 5.0. This exactly
confirmed that JEP is reliable to predict the earthquake
recurrence time in Indonesia.
Index Terms—Java earthquake program (JEP), gamma,
earthquake recurrence time.
Ario Muhammad is with the Department of Civil Engineering, the
Narotama University, Surabaya, Indonesia (e-mail: ariontust@gmail.com).
Ratih Nur Esti Anggraini is with Department of Informatics, Institut
Teknologi Sepuluh November, Surabaya, Indonesia (e-mail:
ratih.nea@gmail.com).
[PDF]
Cite:Ario Muhammad and Ratih Nur Esti Anggraini, "Java Language Program Application on Predicting the Next Earthquake in Indonesia,"
Journal of Advances in Computer Networks vol. 1, no. 3, pp. 168-171, 2013.
